TICGL

| Data Driven Centre

As Tanzania advances toward its Vision 2050 goals, a robust and inclusive tax system is becoming increasingly central to the country’s development strategy. The Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd. (TICGL), through its recent report “Tanzania’s Tax System and Economic Development (2025–2030)”, sheds light on how the government’s tax reforms are driving economic growth, while also revealing critical systemic challenges that must be addressed.

Economic Progress Anchored in Tax Reform

Tanzania’s economy has shown resilience and promise, with GDP growth projected at 6.0% in 2025 and 7.0% by 2028. Key growth sectors include:

Much of this development has been supported by rising tax revenues. In 2024/25, the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) collected TZS 29.41 trillion, including a record TZS 3.587 trillion in December 2024 alone. This revenue funded critical initiatives such as:

Key Issues Hindering Fiscal and Inclusive Growth

Despite these gains, the study outlines ten pressing issues that must be tackled to ensure sustainable development:

1. Narrow Tax Base

Only 7% of Tanzania’s population is registered as taxpayers. With the informal sector employing 72% of the workforce, vast economic activity remains untaxed. This limited base restricts the country’s fiscal space and puts pressure on the formal sector.

2. High VAT Refund Arrears

Businesses faced TZS 1.2 trillion in unpaid VAT refunds in 2024. These delays affect cash flows, particularly for exporters and SMEs, and hinder business expansion.

3. Excessive Compliance Costs

Complex procedures and audit burdens increase operating costs by 10–20% for private enterprises. This discourages SMEs from entering or staying in the formal economy.

4. Business-Discouraging Tax Rates

The 30% corporate income tax and 10% withholding tax on retained earnings introduced in 2025 significantly burden SMEs. For example, SMEs (95% of all businesses) reported a 15% drop in reinvestment capacity due to this withholding tax.

5. Rural-Urban Disparities

Access to financial services is 85% in urban areas but just 55% in rural regions. This gap affects tax registration, compliance, and equitable access to public services.

6. Public Debt Pressure

Public debt stood at 45.5% of GDP in 2022/23. The fiscal deficit reached 2.5% of GDP in 2024/25, with borrowing of TZS 6.62 trillion domestically and TZS 2.99 trillion externally, highlighting the need for increased domestic revenue.

7. Inequitable Tax Benefit Distribution

Only 30% of eligible smallholder farmers accessed the tax exemptions meant for agricultural productivity. This shows a gap between policy design and grassroots impact.

8. Digital Divide

Although digital tax platforms improved compliance by 12% (2023–2024), poor digital literacy and infrastructure outside urban areas limit effectiveness.

9. Climate Vulnerability

Tanzania risks losing up to 0.5% of GDP by 2050 due to climate-related disruptions. While green taxes were proposed (e.g., TZS 500 billion carbon tax), implementation is still nascent.

10. Tensions with Private Sector

The private sector perceives some reforms—such as the 10% withholding tax—as hostile to reinvestment. This could dampen momentum in sectors like manufacturing, where private investment is essential.

The Way Forward

The report outlines several reforms to address these issues:

Conclusion

Tanzania’s tax system is a cornerstone of its economic transformation agenda. While the country has made impressive strides in revenue mobilization and sectoral development, major structural and operational issues remain. Addressing these through inclusive, technology-driven, and equity-focused reforms is not only vital for achieving Vision 2050 but also for securing a prosperous and resilient future for all Tanzanians.

Read Full Publication

Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of Tanzania’s economy, contributing approximately 35% of the national GDP and employing more than 6 million people across diverse sectors such as retail, manufacturing, services, agriculture, and ICT. Despite this vital role, Tanzanian SMEs face significant hurdles due to a complex and burdensome tax system that undermines their potential for growth, innovation, and formalization.

According to a 2025 report by the Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd. (TICGL), SMEs are subjected to a corporate income tax of 30%, 18% VAT for businesses with an annual turnover above TZS 100 million (approx. USD 40,000), and a 4% Skills and Development Levy (SDL) on payroll. These taxes are compounded by various local government levies and withholding taxes ranging from 2% to 15%, depending on transaction types.

A nationwide survey of 250 SMEs revealed alarming figures:

These burdens are particularly severe in urban centers. For instance, a retail business in Dar es Salaam with TZS 150 million annual revenue pays around TZS 20 million in corporate tax, TZS 5 million in VAT, and TZS 3 million in municipal levies, consuming over 18% of its income before operational expenses.

The pressure of over-taxation has discouraged reinvestment, job creation, and formalization. About 56% of SMEs admitted to reducing staff or delaying business expansion due to tax-related financial strain. Comparatively, Rwanda, with a flat SME tax rate of 3% on turnover, has seen over 60% compliance growth, showing how tax-friendly regimes foster enterprise growth.

To address these challenges, TICGL’s report proposes actionable reforms:

In conclusion, without targeted reforms, Tanzania risks stalling the growth of its most dynamic economic segment. A simplified, inclusive, and supportive tax regime is not only essential for SME development but also critical for expanding the national tax base and achieving the country’s Vision 2025 goals. The time for tax reform is now — and the data makes the case clear.

Read Full Publication

Introduction

Tax reforms and policy planning play a critical role in shaping Tanzania’s economic landscape. In the 2023/2024 fiscal year, Tanzania recorded TZS 27.64 trillion in tax revenue, marking a 14.47% growth compared to the previous year. However, the tax revenue target of TZS 28.3 trillion was not fully met, signaling a need for enhanced efficiency and compliance strategies. Key contributing sectors included services (28.2%), trade (23.6%), and manufacturing (17.7%).

Despite this growth, businesses in Tanzania continue to face challenges such as high compliance costs, averaging 2% of annual revenues, which disproportionately impact SMEs and sustain a large informal economy (60% of employment). Addressing these barriers through policy reforms can lead to a more sustainable and inclusive economy.

Tax Revenue Growth and Sector Contributions

Tanzania’s tax revenue has been on an upward trajectory, driven by improvements in collection mechanisms.

Key Figures (2023/2024):

Challenges:

Investment Climate and Policy Impacts

Tanzania’s Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in 2024 stood at USD 1.5 billion, mainly concentrated in agriculture, mining, and energy. Projections indicate a 10% annual growth in FDI, contingent on regulatory improvements.

Investment Indicator2024 ValueProjected 2030
FDI Inflows (USD billion)1.52.8
Ease of Doing Business Score5970
Compliance Costs (% of Revenue)2%1.5%
Tax Revenue (TZS trillion)27.6440
Agriculture Growth Rate6%8%
Manufacturing Growth Rate5%7%

Key Policy Recommendations:

Future Outlook and Conclusion

By 2030, Tanzania’s economy could see a significant boost with improved tax policies. Projections suggest:

Final Thoughts

While Tanzania has made remarkable strides in tax reforms, further enhancements in policy planning, compliance simplification, and investment-friendly tax structures will be essential to achieving long-term economic sustainability. Strengthening digital tax infrastructure, increasing taxpayer education, and promoting fair business policies can foster a more inclusive and prosperous economy.

Publish Your Research with TICGL Data-Driven Centre

Read Full Publication

Tax policies significantly influence Tanzania’s investment climate, affecting both local and foreign investors. While taxation is crucial for government revenue, an overly complex and high tax regime can discourage investments, limit capital inflows, and slow economic growth. This article explores how tax laws shape investment trends in Tanzania, presenting key figures, challenges, and potential solutions.

Tanzania’s Tax System and Investment Trends

1. Corporate Tax Rates and Regional Comparison

Tanzania imposes a 30% corporate tax rate on resident companies, one of the highest in East Africa. In contrast:

The high tax rate discourages investments, as seen in 2022 when Tanzania attracted only $922 million in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), compared to Kenya’s $2 billion and Ethiopia’s $3.1 billion.

2. Tax Compliance and Bureaucracy

Tanzania ranks 163rd out of 190 countries in the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business Index (2020), reflecting long tax compliance procedures. Businesses spend an average of 240 hours per year filing tax documents, compared to 150 hours in Rwanda.

A survey conducted by TICGL in 2025 revealed:

3. Multiple Taxation and VAT Burden

Investors in Tanzania face multiple layers of taxation, including:

Tanzania’s VAT refund delays are a significant issue, with pending refunds amounting to TSh 1.4–1.5 trillion ($650 million) in 2025. Some businesses wait over 12 months for VAT refunds, severely affecting cash flow and expansion plans.

4. Case Studies: How Taxes Affect Investors

Mining Industry: Acacia Mining’s $190 Billion Tax Dispute

Telecommunications: Vodacom Tanzania’s $2.5 Million Tax Case

Tourism Sector: Serena Hotels’ VAT Refund Issues

Recommendations for a Better Investment Climate

  1. Lower Corporate Tax to 25%
    • Aligning with Kenya and Ethiopia could increase Tanzania’s FDI inflows.
  2. Simplify Tax Compliance
    • Introduce a one-stop tax portal to reduce paperwork and compliance time.
  3. Reduce VAT to 16%
    • This would enhance competitiveness and reduce operational costs for businesses.
  4. Automate VAT Refund Processing
    • Ensuring refunds are processed within 30 days would improve business cash flow.
  5. Introduce a 5-Year Tax Stability Framework
    • This would provide predictability and confidence for long-term investors.

Conclusion

Tanzania's current tax policies present significant barriers to investment. High corporate taxes, multiple taxation, VAT refund delays, and unpredictable policy changes discourage both local and foreign investors. If key reforms are implemented—such as lowering tax rates, simplifying compliance, and improving tax administration—Tanzania could increase FDI by 10-15% over the next five years, boosting economic growth and job creation.

Copyright © 2016–2030 TICGL | Economic Consulting Group. Advancing Tanzania’s economic transformation through research and innovation.
crossmenu